The Malta Independent 14 October 2026, Wednesday
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The risk factor

Valerie Visanich Sunday, 11 October 2026, 06:45 Last update: about 2 days ago

As school gates open once again last week, the familiar rhythm of the new academic year returns: school runs, homework, extracurricular activities, packed schedules and the everyday logistical scramble of family life. The beautiful chaos of parenthood comes sharply back into view. This unfolds against the backdrop of renewed discussion about Malta's persistently low fertility rate, once again making headlines as the country records another historically low figure.

One dimension that is often left out of discussions about Malta's low fertility rate is risk.

In a few informal conversations, I have had with women in their mid-30s and slightly older, similar concerns repeatedly emerge. Financial considerations certainly feature. Housing, childminding responsibilities, employment and the general cost of raising children remain important. Yet another concern often sits quietly alongside them: risk.

Pregnancy, childbirth and parenting have always involved uncertainty. In many respects, medical conditions have improved considerably. Maternal deaths are far less common than in previous generations, infant mortality has declined significantly and medical monitoring during pregnancy has become much more sophisticated. Yet this apparent improvement exists alongside a heightened awareness of everything that might go wrong.

We now live within a constant flow of information about complicated pregnancies, childhood illness, developmental differences, autism, rare conditions and the challenges families experience when raising children with additional needs. Many of these stories deserve visibility. Families use traditional and social media to raise awareness, campaign for services or fund medical treatment. Greater awareness can also produce more understanding and reduce stigma.

But there is another sociological consequence. The more such stories circulate through our phones, feeds and everyday conversations, the more imaginable these risks become. Algorithms reinforce this process. Read one story about a difficult pregnancy or a child requiring complex care and similar stories rapidly appear. What is statistically uncommon can begin to feel socially immediate.

The questions then change. Can I cope if my child has significant needs? Could I reduce my working hours? Would my employer accommodate me? What would happen to my career? Would my relationship survive the pressure? Could I provide the level of care expected of a good parent?

This is where Ulrich Beck's concept of the risk society remains highly relevant. Modern societies have become increasingly preoccupied with anticipating and managing risks. Greater knowledge does not always make us feel safer. Sometimes it simply makes us more conscious of uncertainty.

Motherhood, in particular, has become surrounded by an extraordinary discourse of responsibility and risks. Women are expected to make the right decisions before conception, throughout pregnancy and for years afterwards. Eat correctly. Avoid risk. Monitor development. Choose the right school. Provide stimulation and limit screen time. Protect mental health. Balance employment and family life. The possibilities for guilt become almost endless.

There is also another sociological shift taking place: individualisation. This should not automatically be interpreted negatively as selfishness or excessive individualism. Rather, people today have considerably greater scope to construct their own biographies.

Education lasts longer. Careers develop later. Relationships take different forms. Women in particular have opportunities and degrees of independence that were unavailable to many previous generations.

By the time someone reaches their mid-thirties, a certain stability may finally have been achieved: a career, financial independence, travel, friendships, routines and control over one's time. Parenthood therefore becomes less an inevitable stage of adulthood and more a conscious decision involving the possible reorganisation of an entire life.

The question is no longer simply: Do I want a child? It also becomes: Am I prepared to introduce this degree of uncertainty into the life I have spent years building?

This heightened sense of independence is also coupled with a cultural message that has become increasingly powerful: life is short, so live it on your own terms. Bon Jovi's It's My Life comes ringing in my ears as I write this; a song many who are now in their thirties and forties remember singing their lungs out, in their teenage years. Its refrain, "It's my life, it's now or never", captured a wider generational shift towards autonomy, self-determination and the freedom to construct one's own biography. The idea of "doing it my way" has become deeply embedded in contemporary adulthood. Parenthood therefore enters a life already shaped around choice, independence and personal projects. The decision to have a child or multiple children, is no longer simply understood as the natural next stage of adulthood; it is weighed against a life that has already been deliberately built, making the prospect of surrendering some of that autonomy considerably more complex.

If we want to understand declining fertility, we need to move beyond explanations based only on money, childcare provision or housing. These matter enormously, but fertility decisions are also shaped by culture, emotion, perceived risk and changing expectations of parenthood.

The debate on low fertility, therefore, is not simply about whether people can afford to have children. Increasingly, it is also about whether they feel psychologically, socially and morally able to take that risk. This represents just one dimension of the multifaceted explanations for declining fertility rates. Equally significant are the financial, environmental and cultural factors that shape reproductive choices, each of which warrants an article in its own right.

 

 


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